FH 201: There Was A BOOM On The Floor….

WRITTEN BY CHRIS WASSEL | 25 JUNE 2011 

 

Well there were two big trades in the NHL on draft night.  First was the Devin Setoguchi trade to Minnesota and then there was the Brian Campbell trade to Florida.

First off, here is the quick fix info from Ian over at fantasyhockey.com.

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The San Jose Sharks traded Devin Setoguchi, Charlie Coyle, and the 28th overall pick in the draft (Zack Phillips) to the Minnesota Wild for Brent Burns and a second-round pick in 2012.

TSN
Analysis:

Burns had one year remaining on his contract, and it appeared that his price tag going into free agency was going to be costly for the Wild. He will provide not only blueline scoring for the Sharks, but also a much-needed physical presence on defense that seemed to be the Sharks’ downfall during this season’s playoffs. His plus/minus should also improve with the move, making him a more appealing option in fantasy leagues this coming season.

 

Now here is what we think:

Honestly, let’s throw up the table for Setoguchi and Burns.

 

Table Time (Devin Setoguchi and Brent Burns)

Yr Tm GP G A PTS +/- PIM PP SH GW S ATOI
07-08 SJS 44 11 6 17 6 8 3 0 2 105 14:15
08-09 SJS 81 31 34 65 16 25 11 0 3 246 16:13
09-10 SJS 70 20 16 36 0 19 8 0 4 165 15:18
10-11 SJS 72 22 19 41 -2 37 4 0 5 199 15:12

 

So Devin Setoguchi had a breakout season in the 08-09 campaign with 65 points but keep in mind he was seeing some decent power play time because he was converting chances.  It is often joked about but Setoguchi pretty much is a 200 shot a year player.  Now the point totals are a bit of a concern but with the right players, Setoguchi could be a perennial 50+ point a year guy in Minnesota.  He fits in perfect with Minnesota’s slightly higher tempo.  Minnesota does have playmakers and people often forget about this.  Martin Havlat had 40 assists and Mikko Koivu had 45 assists last year.  In theory, Setoguchi has 30 goal potential for years to come in Minnesota which means 55-65 point seasons if things break right.  That is generally not too shabby.  Now on to the new defenseman for the San Jose SharksBrent Burns.

 

Yr Tm GP G A PTS +/- PIM PP GW S ATOI
03-04 MIN 36 1 5 6 -10 12 0 0 34 13:29
05-06 MIN 72 4 12 16 -7 32 1 1 73 14:07
06-07 MIN 77 7 18 25 16 26 3 3 108 15:48
07-08 MIN 82 15 28 43 12 80 8 4 158 23:06
08-09 MIN 59 8 19 27 -7 45 4 2 147 22:25
09-10 MIN 47 3 17 20 -15 32 2 0 104 22:22
10-11 MIN 80 17 29 46 -10 98 8 3 170 25:03

 

To be fair, Brent Burns has no shorthanded goals in his career therefore we did not post that column.  In the last four seasons, Burns saw more and more ice time and in all situations because mostly Minnesota did not have many other options.  It is funny that two of the four seasons Burns played 80 or more games, he did average over half a point a game.  Coincidentally he had the most ice time in those years as well.

With Burns in San Jose, he will have more ample chances to score.  It is not out of the question that he also has 55-60 point potential.  Essentially the trade helps both of the main parts of this trade fantasy wise.  Burns would also see a nice bump in his +/- and the solid PIMS are helpful if he can maintain that mean streak.

In the end, the deal is a long term win for Minnesota but even short term for the two teams.  Simply, fantasy owners should be happy at this juncture.  Now it is time for one more trade.  This should be a bit simpler.

 

Here is the Campbell analysis as well.

The Chicago Blackhawks traded defenseman Brian Campbell to the Florida Panthers for forward Rostislav Olesz.

TSN
Analysis:

The Blackhawks had been trying desperately to dump Campbell’s $7.1 million salary, while the Panthers desperately need to reach the newly increased salary cap floor. Campbell, who had been buried on the Blackhawks’ depth chart behind Duncan Keith and Brent Seabrook, should see a ton of minutes and power-play time for the Panthers.

 

Now there is the Brian Campbell table:

Yr Tm GP G A P +/- PIM PP SH GW S ATOI
06-07 BUF 82 6 42 48 28 35 1 0 1 92 21:53
07-08 TOT 83 8 54 62 8 20 5 0 0 142 25:06
07-08 BUF 63 5 38 43 -1 12 3 0 0 102 25:06
07-08 SJS 20 3 16 19 9 8 2 0 0 40 25:07
08-09 CHI 82 7 45 52 5 22 4 0 1 108 22:34
09-10 CHI 68 7 31 38 18 18 3 0 2 131 23:13
10-11 CHI 65 5 22 27 28 6 2 0 1 84 22:59

 

Campbell clearly was rewarded for his last two full seasons in Buffalo and then the season split between Buffalo and San Jose.  After he got paid his 7+ million a year, one knew it would be tough for Brian Campbell to match that expectation but he did tally 52 points in his first year in Chicago.  Yet last year Campbell was a +28 with only 27 points for a Chicago team that barely made the playoffs.  In Florida, his +/- will suffer but his other numbers should go up.  He likely gets 40-50 points in his first couple years in the Sunshine State.

There is the feeling that more trades are to come but for now these are the two main trades that mattered the most.  It is time to bring on Day 2 of the NHL Draft.

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Posted on June 25, 2011, in NHL. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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